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Regional Economies Shape H-1B Lottery Odds for Tech Workers

Regional economic disparities in the U.S. influence H-1B visa lottery outcomes, particularly in prominent tech hubs. Regions with a stronger tech presence, such as Silicon Valley or Seattle, attract more H-1B applications due to higher job demand and competitive salaries. These variations result in disproportionate visa allocations, affecting regional tech growth and talent availability across the country.

Visa Verge
By Visa Verge - Senior Editor
13 Min Read

Key Takeaways

• USCIS selected 114,017 applicants from 442,000 registrations for FY 2025 H-1B lottery, increasing the selection rate to 26%.
• Key tech hubs like San Francisco, Seattle, and Austin dominate approved H-1B worker allocations due to industry demand and policies.
• H-1B site visit rules and beneficiary-centric registration changes favor smaller hubs like Austin; eligible registrations decreased by 38.6%.

The H-1B visa program influences the workforce in major U.S. technology hubs and other industries reliant on highly skilled professionals from abroad. It is particularly clear that regional economic variations play a vital role in determining outcomes of the annual H-1B lottery, especially in areas known for their tech industries. As the fiscal year 2025 unfolds, trends and data from the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) reveal noticeable shifts in how local economic conditions affect the demand and allocation of H-1B visas in specific regions.

H-1B Lottery Overview and Regional Distribution for 2025

Regional Economies Shape H-1B Lottery Odds for Tech Workers
Regional Economies Shape H-1B Lottery Odds for Tech Workers

Statistics released by USCIS for fiscal year 2025 highlight both the scope and competitive nature of the H-1B visa process. From approximately 442,000 unique registrations, 114,017 applicants were accepted through the lottery, yielding a selection rate of about 26%. This is an improvement over the previous year’s 21.5% rate, although the number of registrations remains considerably high in comparison to the limited number of visas available. These figures also show a shift in where approved H-1B workers are concentrated throughout the U.S.

Certain regions—especially those tied to the technology sector—continue to dominate. Prominent tech hubs such as the San Francisco Bay Area 🇺🇸, Seattle 🇺🇸, and Austin 🇺🇸 play critical roles in attracting foreign talent through the H-1B framework. The data confirms that these places remain highly sought after by both skilled workers and the companies sponsoring them.

Key regions lead the pack regarding the successful lottery selections:
San Francisco Bay Area: The area remains the largest H-1B destination due to its focus on cutting-edge industries like AI and financial technology.
New York City 🇺🇸: There is increasing demand here for H-1B workers in sectors like healthcare technology, fintech, and media.
Austin: The region sees robust growth thanks to an expanding tech sector and business-friendly policies.
Boston 🇺🇸: Home to a strong focus on biotechnology and healthcare sectors, Boston ensures steady demand for H-1B professionals.
Seattle: This city remains vital due to its hosting of leading technology giants like Amazon and Microsoft.

These differences in lottery outcomes across regions speak to how regional economies shape the need for H-1B workers.


Factors Driving Regional Differences in H-1B Outcomes

Each tech hub’s capacity to attract H-1B talent depends on various factors rooted in its economic and structural advantages. Here are the key drivers shaping H-1B lottery outcomes across regions:

  1. Varied Industry Concentration
    The type of industries concentrated in a region largely dictates demand for H-1B workers. For example, the San Francisco Bay Area, known for its innovation in artificial intelligence and financial technology, disproportionately receives H-1B talent specializing in these niches.

  2. Job Market Projections and Workforce Needs
    The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics expects technology and engineering roles to grow by 7% by 2033. Importantly, while this increase spans the entire U.S., job opportunities are not distributed evenly. Certain cities like Seattle and Austin, where local job markets continue to surge, naturally absorb more workers on H-1B visas.

  3. Regional Wage Variations
    Compensation plays a central role in achieving a balance of demand and supply for H-1B talent. Across tech-driven industries, such as those present in tech hubs, wages for H-1B workers vary. Average salaries within the “Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services” sector stand at $118,560 for FY 2025. However, regions like San Francisco and Boston offer significantly higher wages in advanced areas like AI and health-related services.

  4. Local Business Incentives and Policies
    Cities with economic policies favorable to businesses often attract more investment, including H-1B sponsorships. For instance, Austin’s recent rise as a key player in tech stems from policies promoting tax breaks and streamlined approval processes, making it easier for companies to hire immigrant professionals there.


Recent Government Policy Shifts and Their Effects

USCIS implemented changes designed to better allocate H-1B visa resources and prevent fraudulent registrations. These adjustments have directly affected the geographic distribution of visa holders.

  1. Beneficiary-Centric Selection Process
    As a reform implemented in the FY 2025 lottery, each worker could only be submitted for one single registration, significantly reducing abuses of the system. As a result, areas with smaller startups benefited as large companies found it difficult to submit multiple registrations for a single beneficiary. Overall, eligible registrations declined 38.6% from FY 2024. Smaller but growing hubs like Austin appear to reflect this shift.

  2. Updated Specialty Occupation Requirements
    The Department of Homeland Security clarified what qualifies as a “specialty occupation” under H-1B rules. This has influenced how specific industries, fields, or skills are represented in successful applications, likely favoring regions like Boston and San Francisco where highly specialized industries dominate.

  3. Site Visit Authorizations
    The USCIS now has formal authority to conduct workplace site visits to verify H-1B employment conditions. Reportedly, more direct business operations on-site offer transparency, encouraging applications from regions with physical offices and large tech parks, such as Seattle and New York City.


Breaking down the economic landscapes of key tech hubs offers insights into why they either lead or lag behind in attracting H-1B talent.

  1. San Francisco Bay Area
    Known for high salaries and concentration of global tech companies, this hub remains a powerhouse. Salaries for H-1B workers in the information sector average $163,450 annually. Despite its immense pull, some employers are seeking lower-cost hubs due to the high regional costs of living.

  2. New York City
    With a thriving financial sector, NYC is an increasingly vital destination for international workers. H-1B talent in finance, computing systems, and e-commerce earns an average salary of $148,267 in the city.

  3. Austin
    Newly emerging but rapidly catching up, Austin continues to gain ground due to its affordability for companies and its focus on software development and clean technology roles within the growing tech industry.

  4. Boston
    This city shines in biotech and healthcare, two fields requiring specialized international expertise. Here, average H-1B wages reach $164,275, highlighting the value of talent possessing advanced skills.

  5. Seattle
    Home to Amazon, Microsoft, and other global enterprises, this region thrives on its e-commerce and cloud technology sectors. High-paying roles in these fields maintain Seattle’s attractiveness to skilled workers.


Implications for Applicants and Employers

For both employers and H-1B workers, understanding these regional differences is vital in planning for future opportunities. These variations affect not just who applies, but where and how they should apply.

  1. Strategic Company Locations
    To maximize chances in the H-1B lottery, some companies have begun setting up operations in emerging hubs, such as Austin, while maintaining offices in higher-cost regions like New York.

  2. Salary Planning
    Both H-1B employers and workers must factor in the disparities in earning potential across regions.

  3. Industry Matching
    For applicants, regions like Boston may offer better chances if the applicant has expertise in biotechnology or pharmaceutical research, while cloud computing and artificial intelligence-focused professionals may have strong prospects in Seattle and the Bay Area.


Key developments and upcoming changes in immigration policies are set to continue shaping these trends. For example:
– The USCIS held a second H-1B lottery draw for FY 2025 in August 2024 due to unmet visa quotas, selecting an additional 13,607 applicants.
– Discussions about prioritizing U.S. degree holders or refining salary requirements remain ongoing.
– Economic recovery following recent global disruptions still impacts H-1B demand as regions adapt to the changing job market.


In summary, regional economic variations within the U.S. exert substantial influence over the H-1B lottery outcomes, particularly in tech hubs. Traditional centers like San Francisco and Seattle retain their dominance, but emerging areas such as Austin are gaining traction due to favorable conditions. For employers and prospective workers, awareness of these local trends paired with up-to-date immigration policies will be key in navigating the H-1B process. For more details on H-1B eligibility, readers can consult the official USCIS H-1B webpage.

The interplay of policy shifts, economic dynamics, and tech industry demands will continue shaping the landscape for years to come. As VisaVerge.com has noted, this highlights the growing need for workers and companies to adapt their strategies, ensuring they remain competitive in the face of evolving H-1B realities.

Learn Today

H-1B Visa → A U.S. visa allowing employers to hire foreign workers in specialty occupations requiring specialized knowledge and skills.
USCIS (U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services) → The government agency managing the immigration and visa processes, including H-1B applications and regulation enforcement.
Specialty Occupation → Employment requiring theoretical or technical expertise, often in fields like technology, healthcare, or engineering, qualifying for H-1B visas.
Fiscal Year → A government accounting period; for the U.S., it starts October 1 and ends September 30 of the following year.
Lottery Selection Process → A randomized system used by USCIS to allocate H-1B visas due to high demand exceeding the annual cap.

This Article in a Nutshell

The H-1B visa lottery shapes America’s tech hubs. For fiscal 2025, San Francisco, Seattle, and Austin led demand, reflecting thriving sectors like AI, fintech, and cloud computing. Emerging cities gain traction due to affordable operations and policy shifts. Regional economies now dictate outcomes, urging applicants and employers to plan strategically.
— By VisaVerge.com

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